It’s been a long time coming, but only now do I feel comfortable saying with 100% certainty that Baseball Prospectus is no longer any more credible a source for empirical baseball analysis than any of the mainstream sports media outlets. About the Washington Nationals’ signing of free agent Ivan Rodriguez, BP staffer Kevin Goldstein writes:
If you are the Nationals, who is the most important player on your roster? It’s Stephen Strasburg, and it’s by a country mile. Could there really be anything better for Strasburg’s development than giving him a veteran catcher who understands the game as well as anyone around?…
This contract will be impossible to measure based on the $6 million and whatever Rodriguez does statistically. It might only me [sic] measurable on human factor levels that even the smartest statistical minds haven’t quite figured out.
First of all, this is 100% opinion, not analysis. As Goldstein notes, there is no metric to determine how much, if at all, a player’s performance is effected by another player. It is fine for Goldstein to be of the opinion that having Rodriguez around could be beneficial for Stephen Strasburg, however, Baseball Prospectus has always supposed to have been above unquantifiable statements and baseball cliches such as the benefits of veteran leadership.
It makes perfect sense that BP should be in decline, as many of the site’s more innovative-thinking writers have moved on, including Keith Woolner and Dan Fox who now work for the Cleveland Indians and Pittsburgh Pirates, respectively, and Nate Silver, who became a famous person during last year’s Presidential Election for his progressive political website, FiveThirtyEight.com and hasn’t contributed a column to BP since May. The site, which formerly maintained the attitude and feel of a punk-rock band of outsiders, has also moved into the mainstream via a partnership with ESPN last year.
I don’t blame the Baseball Prospectus crew for wanting to make some money and gain some exposure; working sucks and getting paid to write about whatever you want on a daily basis is a situation that should not be taken for granted. However, articles like Goldstein’s only demonstrate just how much BP has sold out.
I used to visit ESPN.com for baseball news and then head over to BP for analysis. However, as the two entities have merged, literally and in subject matter, I found myself less inclined to spend money on a site whose content overlapped with one I was getting for free (got an Insider password, holla). I cancelled my subscription to BP last year, as I explained to longtime BP contributor Jay Jaffe after meeting him a couple of weeks ago, because at this point they’re just not doing anything that I can justify spending money on.
Good luck to Baseball Prospectus and its writers, I have no problem with them making as much money as they can. However, I am no longer interested in paying for anything they have to say about baseball.